Municipal vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 0
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
MUN
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
COB
0 - 0
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
XIN
2 - 1
SLC
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SLC
1 - 4
CHI
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
SLC
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MIX
0 - 0
SLC
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SLC
1 - 0
GUA
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |