Municipal vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
DSA
0 - 0
MUN
28%
29%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
3 - 1
SIQ
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
MIX
0 - 1
MUN
13%
25%
62%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 4
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
COB
1 - 1
MUN
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
SLC
1 - 1
CHI
24%
27%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ANT
0 - 0
SLC
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
DSA
1 - 0
SLC
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SLC
1 - 1
SIQ
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MIX
1 - 1
SLC
35%
30%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |