Municipal vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 7
PAC
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 1
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
RES
1 - 1
MUN
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 1
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
RES
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
RES
5 - 0
MOT
53%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
RES
1 - 1
MUN
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VID
0 - 0
RES
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
PLA
3 - 3
RES
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |