Municipal vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
COB
1 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
MUN
4 - 0
SOL
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
COM
2 - 0
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 5
IZT
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
COB
5 - 1
NUE
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NUE
0 - 3
ANT
20%
27%
54%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 0
CHI
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
NUE
72%
18%
9%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |