Municipal vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
SOL
1 - 4
MUN
20%
28%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
3 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IZT
1 - 0
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 1
MUN
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 1
SLC
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
NUE
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
ANT
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
COB
2 - 0
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 2
COM
19%
26%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |