Municipal vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
9º
1º
2
7º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 34 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 29 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 28 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 28 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 27 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
96% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 67.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
XIN
0 - 2
MUN
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 2
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 1
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 1
ACH
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
MIX
0 - 0
CHI
42%
30%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 0
MIX
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COB
2 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MIX
2 - 3
LEO
48%
29%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
MIX
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |