Municipal vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RET
1 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MUN
4 - 0
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 1
LEO
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ZAC
0 - 1
MUN
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
LEO
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CON
3 - 0
ZAC
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 2
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
HER
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 1
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |