Municipal vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
IZT
1 - 1
MUN
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 0
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
HAL
2 - 1
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
VEN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 3
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 0
COA
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 2
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |