Municipal vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ZAC
0 - 1
MUN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 1
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 0
VEN
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
MUN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 0
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
ZAC
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 0
LEO
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |