Municipal vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
11º
1º
19
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 2
MUN
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 0
GUA
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
5 - 1
ACH
56%
23%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 0
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 1
MUN
33%
29%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
CHI
44%
29%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
TOR
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
IZT
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 1
TOR
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |