Apertura Guatemala Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Municipal vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
XIN
0 - 1
MUN
30%
30%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 0
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
XIN
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
ANT
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IZT
2 - 1
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |