Municipal vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
MUN
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
MUN
2 - 2
LDA
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MUN
3 - 3
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ANT
2 - 0
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
VEN
1 - 1
TOR
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 0
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 1
ANT
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |