Municipal vs Juv.Retalteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 3
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 0
ZAC
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
MUN
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MUN
4 - 2
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juv.Retalteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RET
1 - 4
LEO
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
ZAC
0 - 0
RET
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RET
1 - 2
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
RET
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RET
2 - 0
VEN
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |