Municipal vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
11º
1º
20
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
4 - 0
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SLC
0 - 4
MUN
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COB
0 - 2
MUN
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 1
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 2
MUN
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 0
SLC
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
IZT
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 5
COM
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ANT
5 - 2
IZT
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
IZT
0 - 3
COB
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |