Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Municipal vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
IZT
1 - 3
MUN
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 0
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
SLC
0 - 2
MUN
20%
28%
53%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
6 - 0
IZT
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
4 - 0
ANT
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
IZT
1 - 3
MUN
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
IZT
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
IZT
0 - 1
ACH
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
6 - 0
IZT
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
IZT
4 - 1
DSA
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |