Municipal vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 2
HER
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
MUN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 1
CON
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VEN
2 - 1
IZT
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
IZT
1 - 2
COA
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
IZT
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
IZT
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
IZT
1 - 1
CHI
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |