Clausura Guatemala Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Municipal vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
VEN
0 - 1
MUN
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
MUN
4 - 1
VEN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 0
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
MUN
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
HER
6 - 1
HAL
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
IZT
3 - 5
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
HER
5 - 2
COA
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |