Municipal vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
HAL
2 - 1
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
5 - 0
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
COA
1 - 0
MUN
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 1
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
3 - 0
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SJE
1 - 0
HER
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |