Municipal vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 2
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 1
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 3
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 2
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
LEO
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
ZAC
1 - 1
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 0
HER
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 0
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |