Municipal vs Halcones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 1
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 2
MUN
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 0
ANT
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 1
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 0
HAL
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
HAL
3 - 1
COA
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
HAL
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MUN
5 - 1
HAL
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |