Municipal vs Halcones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 0
DEP
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 1
MUN
67%
19%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 1
LEO
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
HAL
4 - 0
ESC
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
3 - 0
HAL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 1
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
HAL
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
HAL
0 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |