Municipal vs Halcones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 1
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MUN
3 - 1
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
MUN
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
HAL
3 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
HAL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 1
ZAC
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
HAL
6 - 2
VEN
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
COM
2 - 2
HAL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |