Municipal vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
2º
18
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 2
ZAC
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MUN
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 0
COA
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 2
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
XIN
0 - 2
MUN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
COM
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
ZAC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 1
GUA
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |