Municipal vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
10º
2º
23
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
MUN
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 3
MUN
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
MUN
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 1
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
GUA
48%
29%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 0
GUA
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
XIN
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
CHI
43%
28%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |