Municipal vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
10º
2º
23
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
MUN
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 3
MUN
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
MUN
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 1
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
GUA
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 0
GUA
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
XIN
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
CHI
43%
28%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |