Municipal vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
MUN
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
COM
2 - 2
MUN
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 2
OLI
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MUN
4 - 1
TOR
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ANT
0 - 3
MUN
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SLC
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
GUA
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
MIX
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
XIN
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
COM
0 - 0
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |