Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Municipal vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
26.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
VEN
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
ANT
1 - 1
MUN
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
SIQ
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
DSA
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 1
VEN
46%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |