Municipal vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 1
MUN
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
ANT
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
TOR
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
MUN
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CON
1 - 3
MUN
43%
29%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
GUA
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 1
GUA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
LEO
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
COM
3 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COB
3 - 0
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |