Municipal vs Deportivo Petapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 0
VEN
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
MUN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 1
HAL
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
MUN
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Petapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ZAC
3 - 1
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
TOR
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
DEP
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 2
DEP
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |