Municipal vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
9º
1º
6
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 34 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 29 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 28 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 28 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 27 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
96% | 73.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
0 - 1
MIX
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
XIN
0 - 2
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 1
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
COB
0 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
COM
1 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COM
2 - 3
ANT
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 0
COM
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
MIX
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |