Apertura Guatemala Final
Global 0-4
Municipal vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 2
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 3
VEN
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 1
MUN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MUN
4 - 4
UNI
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
TOR
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 2
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |