Apertura Guatemala Final
Global 1-1
Municipal vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MUN
1 - 0
ZAC
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
ZAC
0 - 1
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MUN
3 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 1
MUN
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MUN
2 - 0
LEO
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
COM
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
COM
3 - 2
DEP
53%
23%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
COM
2 - 0
JAL
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ZAC
2 - 0
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
COM
0 - 0
LEO
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |