Apertura Guatemala Final
Global 9-2
Municipal vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
COM
1 - 5
MUN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MUN
2 - 0
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
MUN
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
COM
1 - 5
MUN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
COM
5 - 1
LEO
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
LEO
3 - 1
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
COM
3 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |