Apertura Guatemala Final
Global 3-2
Municipal vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
MUN
4 - 0
COB
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2003 |
COB
1 - 0
MUN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
MUN
2 - 1
ANT
57%
22%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TEC
1 - 0
MUN
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 0
ZAC
55%
21%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
COM
3 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 0
COM
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 2
COM
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
COM
2 - 1
COB
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
TEC
1 - 1
COM
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |