Municipal vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
4 - 2
ANT
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 1
LEO
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
MUN
52%
26%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
COA
2 - 1
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 0
COA
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 0
COA
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COA
2 - 1
DEP
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
COA
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |