Municipal vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 0
RES
42%
24%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 7
PAC
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 1
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
RES
1 - 1
MUN
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
COA
0 - 0
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COA
3 - 1
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 1
COA
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
COA
2 - 3
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
COA
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |