Municipal vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
ANT
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANT
5 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
COM
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
COB
1 - 0
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |