Municipal vs Antigua GFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
9º
1º
11
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
2º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 25 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 12 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
69% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
ACH
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
MUN
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
TOR
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
MUN
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 0
ZAC
61%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 0
ANT
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COB
3 - 3
ANT
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |