Municipal vs Antigua GFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
MUN
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 3
CHI
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 2
MUN
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +7 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 1
SIQ
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
COM
0 - 1
MUN
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ANT
1 - 3
COB
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
ANT
1 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 0
ANT
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +5 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ANT
4 - 3
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SIQ
1 - 2
ANT
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |