Apertura Guatemala Final
Global 2-2
Municipal vs Antigua GFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
COB
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 0
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
ANT
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANT
5 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
ANT
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |