Municipal vs Antigua GFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TEC
1 - 0
MUN
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 0
ZAC
55%
21%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
COM
1 - 0
MUN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
JAL
3 - 3
MUN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
MUN
2 - 0
AUR
61%
21%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ANT
2 - 1
ZAC
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
JAL
3 - 3
ANT
51%
24%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ANT
0 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
COB
1 - 0
ANT
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ANT
0 - 0
TEC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |