Municipal vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
10º
2º
30
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 3
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
MUN
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 2
MUN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZAC
0 - 1
MUN
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 1
MIX
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
ACH
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 2
ANT
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 1
ZAC
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MIX
2 - 0
ACH
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 3
GUA
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |