Municipal vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
11º
1º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 0
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 1
MUN
33%
29%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 3
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 1
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 0
COB
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
COM
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
6 - 1
ACH
46%
27%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
ANT
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 0
MIX
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
COB
1 - 2
ACH
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |