Municipal vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
XIN
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SLC
1 - 0
MUN
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 1
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
MIX
1 - 4
MUN
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
SLC
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 0
CHI
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MIX
2 - 2
ACH
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 0
GUA
34%
31%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
COM
3 - 0
ACH
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |