Municipal vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
DSA
0 - 1
MUN
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 0
COB
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
MUN
37%
28%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
3 - 0
SAC
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 0
MUN
16%
26%
58%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ACH
0 - 1
GUA
24%
29%
48%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COB
0 - 0
ACH
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 1
SAC
50%
26%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DSA
2 - 2
ACH
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 0
MUN
16%
26%
58%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |