Atlético Palmaflor vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Palmaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DRT
2 - 2
CMV
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
1 - 1
JWI
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UDV
1 - 1
CMV
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
2 - 1
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CMV
2 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 3
BLO
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAC
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAC
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
JWI
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
UDV
2 - 0
SAC
41%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |