Atlético Palmaflor vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Palmaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
STR
1 - 0
CMV
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CMV
2 - 1
BLO
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 0
CMV
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
CMV
2 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 2
CMV
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 5
OPE
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
JWI
0 - 0
SAC
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
REA
6 - 0
SAC
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RPO
2 - 1
SAC
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |