Copa Chile 1/64
Global 5-4
Municipal Puente Alto vs Colchagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
63%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Puente Alto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
CHG
2 - 2
MPA
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MEJ
1 - 1
MPA
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MPA
0 - 2
CHI
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ACC
3 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
10%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
4 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Colchagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
CHG
2 - 2
MPA
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ACC
1 - 2
CHG
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHG
2 - 1
CDC
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 0
CHG
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 0
CHG
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |