Municipal Limeño vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
9º
11
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FIR
1 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 2
FAS
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 2
JOC
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
MUN
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
JOC
38%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
ONC
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
CDD
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FUE
2 - 1
SAN
9%
17%
75%
|
55 | 11 | 44 | 0 |