Municipal Limeño vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
JOC
0 - 0
MUN
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 0
MET
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 1
MUN
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
MUN
2 - 0
SFC
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAN
27%
27%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FIR
1 - 4
ALI
12%
22%
66%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 4
FIR
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 1
FIR
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
FIR
0 - 0
IND
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FIR
0 - 0
JOC
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |