Municipal Limeño vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
7º
5º
11
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 38 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 37 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 35 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 32 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 29 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 28 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 27 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 19 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 17 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 17 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
94.5% | 93.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
MUN
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
CDD
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 2
MUN
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 0
CDP
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 1
FAS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 3
MET
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 2
FAS
19%
26%
55%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 0
CDD
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |